2 May 2019 The sharp decline in equity markets during Q4 2018, reflected the likelihood that global economic activity would decelerate in 2019. Some commentators went even further, coining a new phrase, and posing the question of whether a "Japanification" of the global economy was taking place. That is, even a decade after the Global … Continue reading Japanification: Has Europe Been Infected?
17 April 2019 This podcast complements the blog of the same name, which can also be found on the website. For those of you too busy to read during the holiday weekend, I thought I would make life easy for you! Good luck! Happy Easter! Comments always are welcome!
17 April 2019 In our 2019 Global Strategy blog entitled "Turning (Even More) Defensive" (published in September 2018), we outlined the broad macro themes we expected to drive financial markets. Given the sharp market swings that have occurred since last Autumn, I thought it would be worthwhile to review these themes in light of subsequent … Continue reading Kick the Tires: Forecast Update
5 April 2019 In elections last year, voters in both Brazil and Mexico opted overwhelmingly for populist candidates. To be sure, Latin American populism takes many shapes. In Mexico, Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador's version (AMLO) promised significantly higher spending on social programs and infrastructure. Brazil's new President Jair Bolsonaro has pledged assertive efforts to clamp … Continue reading Mexico & Brazil: Populism’s First 100 Days