Asia 2025: Top Trade War Target

Despite expressing grievances with Canada, Mexico, and the European Union, Asia is likely to emerge as the top target of the Trump trade war. Indeed, on the "Liberation Day" list, 6 out of the 10 highest tariffs would be imposed on Asian nations. To a degree, this is understandable. Nine of 15 of America's largest [...]

Trump Tariffs: Common Sense is Not So Common

In his inaugural speech, President Trump pledged a "revolution of common sense". However, as French Enlightenment philospher Voltaire warned, "common sense is not so common". In his recent so-called Liberation Day presentation, Mr. Trump combined a misreading of history and poor economic analysis; unveiling "reciprocal" tariffs on the nation's trading partners. The aim, we are [...]

Europe: Reform Now or Be Left Behind!

The world Europe confronts is changing rapidly. On the hand, the United States is becoming widely viewed as an indispensible, but unreliable ally. Equally importantly, the global economy appears to be entering an era of rapid technological change for which Europe is not fully prepared. To be sure, the region enjoys an enviable economic model; [...]

Trump 2.0 Tariffs: Everyone Loses

Until now, financial markets have adopted a complacent "wait and see" approach when considering the prospects for the Trump 2.0 trade policy. However, the hope the new Administration's bark would be worse than its bite has been dashed with the imposition of high tariffs on the nation's three largest trading partners. Markets should now contemplate [...]