Recent elections in Hungary and the Netherlands, along with Trump 2.0's flagging support, led some to speculate that world-wide political populism may be peaking. However, these hopes were dashed by the UK local election results in which Reform UK was the big winner, and nationalist parties took control in Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. In … Continue reading Can the United Kingdom Be Fixed?
Tag: debt
India: Unlocking Its Full Potential
20 February 2026 As long ago as my 2019 blog "India: Long Growth Runway Ahead", I outlined why India's economy and financial markets would outperform China in the coming decade. And, indeed, India has enjoyed the strongest GDP growth amongst all major economies during the past 10 years (Chart below). As a result, India became … Continue reading India: Unlocking Its Full Potential
China: Beggar-thy-Neighbor Policy Creates Risks
30 January 2026 Even if one doesn't trust China's data, there's no doubt the economy has proved surprisingly resilient, despite the Trump 2.0 tariffs. And, the outcome of recent Sino-US trade negotiations indicate they enjoy considerable leverage in future talks, given America's current dependence on Chinese rare earth materials. As the Year of the Horse … Continue reading China: Beggar-thy-Neighbor Policy Creates Risks
Trump 2.0: Tariffs, Trade, and the Dollar
25 September 2025 To be sure, financial markets have needed to react to a daily diet of consequential, and often quickly reversed, policy announcements during the early months of Trump 2.0. What has been consistent, however, has been the US dollar's depreciation: the greenback has fallen 10% this year. Indeed, many had expected the dollar … Continue reading Trump 2.0: Tariffs, Trade, and the Dollar