Turkey: Systemic Risk or Just One Bad Apple?

26 March 2021 President Erdogan's decision to sack Turkey's central bank governor Naci Agbal last week following the CBRT's decision to raise interest rates 200bp has increased volatility in EM currency markets. Is this just the latest episode of Turkish political intrigue? Alternatively, given both Brazil and Russia also lifted key rates, has a more [...]

Covid in Latin America: Another Lost Decade?

5 November 2020 Saddled with high debt, Latin America's real per capita GDP stagnated between 1980 and 1995, despite a healthy global economic environment. A lost decade (Chart above). The region has suffered greatly during the ongoing Coronavirus crisis, and the economic consequences have been enormous. Despite having only 8% of the world's population, the [...]