Bond Markets: Mr. Warsh’s Education

Since March, when the US Congress began considering Kevin Warsh's appointment as Chairman of the Federal Reserve, bond yields have surged 75 basis points. Initially, financial markets were concerned about Mr. Warsh's ability to resist inevitable pressure from POTUS47. In particular, would he take a dovish approach to controlling above-target inflation. These fears intensified after … Continue reading Bond Markets: Mr. Warsh’s Education

Strategy 2026: Smooth Sailing?

18 January 2026 I have returned recently from a lovely Christmas holiday in the USA. Indeed, I'm happy to report that despite America's political turmoil and divisiveness, families can still celebrate together (with minor exceptions)!! Regarding the US financial market outlook, I was struck by the universal sense of optimism. The consensus is the bull … Continue reading Strategy 2026: Smooth Sailing?

France: Plus Ca Change?

2 March 2025 "Plus ca change" is a French adage loosely meaning "the more things change, the more they stay the same". To be sure, France enjoys an enviable socio-economic model: producing high levels of productivity and living standards combined with a strong commitment to equity and sustainability. Indeed, I have just returned from an … Continue reading France: Plus Ca Change?