12 July 2019 Global equity markets are at (or approaching) all-time highs. What's not to like? In particular, the US market has been buoyed by the Sino-US trade truce achieved at the Tokyo G20 meeting, the prospect of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, and solid employment gains. Indeed, our year-end 2019 S&P 500 target of … Continue reading Avoiding the Potholes Ahead
16 December 2018 Following the Brexit debate often reminds me of cartoon characters who, prior to proceeding to their destination, frantically spin their wheels without actually moving. Such has been the case for much of 2018. After the Parliamentary drama of the past few weeks, however, issues have become clearer and options have narrowed. In … Continue reading No Deal Brexit: Project Fear or Simple Facts?
11 October 2018 After years of describing NAFTA as "the worst trade deal in history", the Trump Administration along with Canada and Mexico signed the US Mexico Canada Agreement (USMCA). The White House, naturally, hails the accord as a historic triumph for American workers and farmers. Critics view the deal as a simple rebranding of … Continue reading After USMCA, Taking Aim at China?
24 June 2018 Even in comparison with the recent deterioration in diplomatic norms, the breakdown of the recent Group of 7 meeting was breath-taking. The long-planned gathering, cut short by US President Trump's early departure for his hastily planned Singapore summit with North Korea, began with Donald Trump's advocacy to include Russia in future occasions. … Continue reading USA and European Union: With Friends Like These…..