13 February 2018 In my 2018 Investment Strategy blog entitled "Aging Rally or More to Play For?", I indicated that while the US (and global) equity market rally was aging in calendar terms, the factors traditionally signalling the end of the cycle were not yet evident. Nevertheless, I suggested that the US market would experience … Continue reading S&P 500: Tipping Point?
15 December 2017 Looking into 2018, one is is reminded of the old stock market admonition that "bulls make money and bears make money, but pigs are slaughtered". In other words, let's not be greedy: the returns of the past year are highly unlikely to be repeated. In an effort to free up your time … Continue reading 2018 Strategy in Pictures: Aging Rally or More to Play For?
22 October 2017 Investors appear convinced that stimulative G-7 monetary policies lie behind the markets’ record-setting performance. To be sure, that was the case between 2009 and 2015. During the past three years, however, I believe the impact of monetary policy has been quite neutral, the key driver of markets more recently has shifted from … Continue reading Do Markets Believe Central Banks?
3 September 2017 Welcome to the launch of what will be a regular strategy review. Macro-themes have dominated market moves, especially following the Brexit referendum and the US and French elections. With the Trump Presidency entering a potentially decisive six months, I believe this will remain true during the year ahead. I am a believer … Continue reading Investment Strategy: Next 6 Months are Key for Trump Presidency