12 January 2020 The prospect that this week the USA and China will sign Phase 1 of a trade deal has buoyed financial markets. Of course, I will assess the impact of the agreement as details emerge. However, initial optimism is warranted if the plan represents the first step towards a comprehensive trade agreement (even … Continue reading China: Trade Deal Won’t End Slowdown
For enthusiasts of multi-media platforms, please enjoy this podcast on Global Strategy: 2020 Vision. I encourage you to read the blog of the same name found on my website. Also, look at individual reports on several of the key issues outlined on the podcast. These can be found by clicking the Archive or Regional tabs … Continue reading Global Strategy Podcast: 2020 Vision
11 November 2019 Easy monetary conditions have fueled the global equity index to an all-time high. Looking forward, key market risks centre on the likelihood of a 2020 global recession, the possibilty of a trade deal between the United States and China, and political risks, especially as US and UK voters go to the polls. … Continue reading Global Strategy: 2020 Vision
22 October 2019 The global economy is slowing. During previous bouts of world-wide economic weakness, Asia has been relied upon as an engine of growth. This time, however, Asian economic activity is also cooling, as the region (and individual countries within the area) confronts both external and domestic challenges. The deepening trade war, of course, … Continue reading Asia: Bending, But Not Breaking